Income Impacts of Climate Change: Irrigated Farming
in the Mediterranean and Expected Changes in Probability
of Favorable and Adverse Weather Conditions

Gabriele Dono, Raffaele Cortignani, Luca Giraldo, Massimiliano Pasqui, Pier Paolo Roggero

Guest Editors: Martin Banse, Floor Brouwer, Ruslana Rachel Palatnik and Franz Sinabell
Published: 01.09.2014  〉 Volume 63 (2014), Number 3, 177-186  〉 Resort: Articles 
Submitted: N. A.   〉 Feedback to authors after first review: N. A.   〉 Accepted: N. A.


EU rural development policy (RDP) regulation 1305/2013 aims to protect farmers’ incomes from ongoing change of climate variability (CCV), and the increase in frequency of adverse climatic events. An income stabilization tool (IST) is provided to compensate drastic drops in income, including those caused by climatic events. The present study examines some aspect of its application focussing on Mediterranean irrigation area where frequent water shortages may generate significant income reductions in the current climate conditions, and may be further exacerbated by climate change. This enhanced loss of income in the future would occur due to a change in climate variability. This change would appreciably reduce the probability of weather conditions that are favourable for irrigation, but would not significantly increase either the probability of unfavourable weather conditions or the magnitude of their impact. As the IST and other insurance tools that protect against adversity and catastrophic events are only activated under extreme conditions, farmers may not consider them to be suitable in dealing with the new climate regime. This would leave a portion of the financial resources allocated by the RDP unused, resulting in less support for climate change adaptation.

Department of Science and Technology for Agriculture,
Forestry, Nature and Energy, Tuscia University
via San Camillo de Lellis snc,
01100 - Viterbo, Italy
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