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Können Produktionsentscheidungen als
Investitionsentscheidungen modelliert werden?

Stefan Mann, Gabriele Mack, Ali Ferjani

Published: 24.10.2003  〉 Jahrgang 52 (2003), Heft 7 (von 8)  〉 Resort: Articles 
Submitted: N. A.   〉 Feedback to authors after first review: N. A.   〉 Accepted: N. A.
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ABSTRACT

Interviews with Swiss farmers lead to the hypotheses that production decisions, also in crop growing, are not made annually, but similarly to investment decisions in the long run. This hypothesis is backed by non-parametric time-series analysis for Switzerland and Germany. This creates a theoretical basis for combining Positive Mathematical Programming with flexibility constraints in optimization models. Results of the forecasting model SILAS show that forecasting quality is improved through this approach.
CONTACT AUTHOR
Dr. habil. STEFAN MANN
Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Agrarwirtschaft und Landtechnik
Tänikon, CH-8356 Ettenhausen, Schweiz
Tel.: +(41)-52-368 32 38, Fax: +(41)-52-365 11 90,
e-mail: stefan.mann@fat.admin.ch
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